Return Calculator
Estimate what your investment could be worth if a company fails or meets your expectations. You provide the assumptions; these are scenarios, not forecasts.
Your assumptions
The amount of money you choose to put at risk.
Example: $500 means both scenarios start with $500 at risk.
An amount you could lose in full.
The starting company value used to scale your modeled token value.
Example: $500 divided by a $2 million entry valuation gives a 0.025% value fraction.
Use the implied valuation from the deal sheet.
Money the company earns from sales during one year, before expenses.
Example: $1 million means customers paid the company $1 million that year.
Your estimate. Backable does not supply or check it.
6x · 15% · 0% dilution
A public company used only as a reference for choosing a revenue multiple.
Example: A marketplace may be a more useful reference for another marketplace than a retailer.
An asset-light marketplace with moderated growth.
Historical company-value-to-revenue snapshot. Illustrative and unverified. It is not a current quote or a suggested comparable.
Modeled company value for each dollar of annual revenue.
Example: At 6x, $1 million of annual revenue produces a $6 million modeled value.
Modeled company value for each dollar of annual revenue.
Bounded from 1% to 50%. These are your odds, not a measured base rate.
Advanced settings are optional. If you cannot estimate annual revenue, leave it blank rather than guess.
Optional assumptions Future years and later fundraising
A reduction in your modeled value fraction after the company raises more money.
Example: 20% dilution reduces a 0.025% modeled fraction to 0.020%.
The default is zero. Later rounds usually reduce the modeled fraction.
How the arithmetic works
For the one-year option, the calculator multiplies yearly sales by the modeled value you chose for each sales dollar. It scales that result by the amount at risk divided by the starting company value, after any reduction from later fundraising.
The failure scenario returns zero. The other scenario uses every assumption you entered. The smaller average multiplies each result by your odds and adds them. No outcome pays that average.
The longer-term option changes yearly sales by your growth estimate. It treats the share of sales left after expenses as yearly cash, then converts future cash and the final value into today's value. At zero years it gives the same result as the one-year option.
Resources
Guides and company pages on Backable.