# SuperPumped ($SP) — Backable raise

> Machine-readable companion to https://www.backable.biz/raises/Cdc9b9AuwkbfjBWqYC8xkcoyMacF6G55wsdUK2gpPuzS
> Deal terms and escrow figures come from onchain and API records. The pitch
> is the founder's own frozen text — Backable is permissionless and nobody
> reviewed it. Listing is not endorsement.

Leverage and Data Layer for Prediction Markets

## Status

- state: CLAIMABLE
- goal (hard cap on what the company receives): $200,000
- committed: $845 across 3 backers
- raised (received by the company): $0
- claimable back by backers: $845

## The deal

- token price at goal (everyone pays this): $0.02
- MCAP at open (team and existing-investor tokens excluded): $258,000
- FDV (all tokens, locked included): $516,000
- total supply (fixed; minting needs a market-approved proposal): 25,800,000
- supply split: backers 10,000,000 (38.8%) · liquidity 2,900,000 (11.2%) · team 12,900,000 (50.0%)
- share of supply sold to backers: 38.8%
- team lock before any unlock: 18 months
- unlock ladder (3-month TWAP must hold each price): 2x → $0.04 · 4x → $0.08 · 8x → $0.16 · 16x → $0.32 · 32x → $0.64
- monthly budget after funding (onchain ceiling): $20,000
- at close (escrow releases): $160,000 to treasury (80.0%) · $40,000 seeds liquidity
- runway at that budget: ~8.0 months

## Protections (identical for every raise)

- Approved aligned parties are selected per raise. The raise page lists selected
  wallets at $0 until they commit, then updates their gross commitments before refunds.
- Commitments sit in escrow; the team receives $0 unless the goal is met.
- Goal missed → every backer can claim 100% of principal. The claim is a
  transaction the backer sends themselves; nothing arrives automatically,
  nobody can refuse it, and there is no deadline.
- Oversubscribed → the goal is split pro rata by weight: time in escrow ×
  early-fill boost × Ownership Score multiplier (none = no extra weight, log
  scale to a fixed cap, read from the committing wallet at close; linked
  wallets do not combine). Nobody is approved for more than they
  committed; the rest is claimable the same way.
- After funding, spending above the published monthly budget requires a
  proposal decided by decision markets, not by the team.
- Tokens are not equity and may be worth nothing.

## What the token is, and is not

Both halves matter, and reading either alone gives the wrong answer.

**It is not** a security, equity, loan or ownership interest. Holders
have no legal title to any asset, no claim on revenue, no fiduciary duty
owed to them, and no ownership of the Cayman segregated portfolio that
holds the company's IP. There is no promise of return, buyback or
future utility.

**It is** a governance claim in a decision market. The treasury is
governed by that market rather than by the team, spending above the
published monthly budget has to pass it, and the segregated portfolio is
contractually required to abide by certain of its determinations. The
market can also stop funding the company and direct the money elsewhere.

So "the DAO controls X" and "holders own nothing" are both accurate: the
first is control through the mechanism, the second is legal title.

**The mechanism is the top of the stack.** The constraints above are the
structure's current settings, not its ceiling — the operating documents
are themselves subject to the decision market, within the scope those
documents define. This is the point most readers miss, and it cuts in
both directions, which is why it is not a reassurance:

- The market can authorise things nobody promised at the raise.
- The market can also withdraw things a backer assumed. It "may revoke
  funds out of the pool at any time, or may cease using the funds for the
  currently contemplated project" (fundraise terms, paragraph 5).
- Governance power is not legal effect. The market deciding to do a thing
  does not by itself make that thing lawful or effective; anything with
  its own regulatory path still has to travel it.

The correct reading is therefore not "the page and the terms contradict
each other" but "nothing here is fixed except the escrow and the claim."
Score the raise on that basis. A page describing what the mechanism could
authorise is not making a promise; a page claiming holders *own* an asset
outright is overstating it, and that is still worth flagging.

## Diligence signals

- disclosure score (mechanical — counts what the founder chose to show, not idea quality): 3/7 — missing: six required answers, market size cites a source, a metric with a date, a founder-stated risk, a named, linked team member
- B1 transparency filing: filed
- concentration: top wallet ET9WHhkYYA5RiCpp8sF7zou2Dr69EMgxDwbTwiyL3VxX holds 94.6% of committed capital across 3 backers
- vetting: none — anyone can publish a raise for $15; do your own research
- investors on record before this raise: none

## Founder claims (unverified — absence is itself a disclosure)

- edge, in the founder's words: not provided
- founder commitment (self-stated): not stated — that silence is an answer
- founder-stated TAM: not provided
- metrics: none provided

## Links (founder-provided — verify control yourself)

- website: https://superpumped.pro
- x: https://x.com/trysuperpumped
- docs: https://docs.superpumped.pro

## Onchain

- raise: Cdc9b9AuwkbfjBWqYC8xkcoyMacF6G55wsdUK2gpPuzS (v0.7)
- token mint: BZYMdDw6wicJhzjPwUiReMQree9iCy8A95PXnmnwmeta
- quote mint: EPjFWdd5AufqSSqeM2qN1xzybapC8G4wEGGkZwyTDt1v
- base vault: DTvtrXq5vfvmKoXav5uH9QmEFFMjA4Uk3jBw8GYY5wpx
- quote vault: BzW1j4VgBAZoBHKzonQWzmJmWN68ZjYYPuPKHNG68rXu
- authority: LRrTQLqFzAPxjschuAKQAqH1XHBuBgHqwhybENStARt

## Founder's pitch (verbatim, frozen at publish, unreviewed)

# About

## SuperPumped: The Capital-Efficient Prediction Market Era Starts Here

SuperPumped is the leverage and intelligence layer for prediction markets.

It enables traders to take leveraged positions with up to **10× leverage** through isolated, vault-backed markets and risk controls designed specifically for binary outcomes. SuperPumped initially focuses on fast-moving **5-minute and 15-minute crypto prediction markets**, where traders have conviction but existing platforms provide limited capital efficiency.

Alongside leverage, SuperPumped is building a unified research and data layer combining prices, liquidity, order books, news, catalysts, timelines, charts, event summaries, and probabilistic analysis in one trading interface.

> “Prediction markets let users express what they believe, but not how strongly they believe it. SuperPumped gives traders the infrastructure to size their positions according to their conviction, while using isolated vaults and resolution-aware risk controls designed around binary settlement. This is the capital-efficiency layer prediction markets are missing.”
> 

# Raising $200k

## What we plan to achieve with this $200k

We are raising for exactly what stands between SuperPumped and scaled market deployment.

The product and core risk infrastructure are already being built, and we have more than **200 users on the waitlist**. This raise gives us the capital required to provide initial leverage liquidity, roll out markets, acquire users, strengthen the team, and operate the infrastructure needed to support meaningful trading volume.

The primary use of capital is not simply development. A leveraged prediction-market platform requires sufficient vault liquidity from day one. Without that liquidity, markets cannot support useful position sizes, consistent execution, or meaningful scale.

The raise funds approximately 8 months of focused execution:

- Launch SuperPumped publicly.
- Capitalize the first leverage vaults.
- Roll out liquid 5-minute and 15-minute crypto markets.
- Convert the existing waitlist into active traders.
- Expand the team across engineering, quantitative risk, product, and growth.
- Scale the data, execution, monitoring, and security infrastructure.
- Demonstrate repeat trading volume, vault utilization, and sustainable protocol revenue.

# Traction

| Metric | Status |
| --- | --- |
| Product stage | Private beta live |
| Waitlist | 200+ users |
| Core leverage engine | Built around isolated, vault-backed execution |
| Initial market focus | 5-minute and 15-minute crypto markets |
| Maximum leverage | Up to 10× |
| Research infrastructure | Multi-sport probabilistic research system operational |
| Historical research corpus | 15,333 verified games |
| Final-test research signals | 39,277 |
| Validation-qualified research accuracy | 90.04% at 26.02% coverage |

SuperPumped Crunch has been evaluated through a chronological train-validation-test process designed to prevent future information from leaking into earlier predictions. The reported 90.04% result represents selective historical research accuracy and should not be interpreted as guaranteed performance or financial profitability.

# Use of Funds

## Raise: $200,000 total

### Proposed Monthly allocation

| Allocation | Amount | Purpose |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Vault and market rollout | $10,000 | Capitalize leverage vaults, support initial markets, maintain sufficient execution capacity, and scale position availability |
| Marketing and user acquisition | $4,000 | Convert the waitlist, acquire active traders and liquidity providers, build partnerships, and generate trading volume |
| Team Salary and expansion | $5,000 | Monthly Salaries for 3 devs and 1 marketing person and Hire across engineering, quantitative risk, product, operations, and growth |
| Infrastructure, security, and data | $1,000 | Trading infrastructure, RPC and indexing, data providers, monitoring, audits, hosting, and operational security |
| **Total** | **$20,000** |  |

## Why Vault receives the largest allocation

SuperPumped does not use leverage as a cosmetic interface feature. Leveraged positions are supported by capital supplied through isolated vaults.

These vaults need sufficient liquidity to:

- Offer useful position sizes.
- Support multiple markets simultaneously.
- Absorb normal trading demand.
- Maintain isolated risk between markets.
- Allow new markets to launch without waiting for external liquidity.
- Give traders confidence that leverage will be consistently available.

SuperPumped uses vault-backed liquidity, resolution-aware close windows, and market-specific risk limits to avoid carrying leveraged exposure into final binary settlement.

# Indicative Operating Breakdown

The exact monthly burn will depend on how quickly liquidity is deployed and hiring is completed.

| Line item | Indicative share |
| --- | --- |
| Core team and hiring | 25% |
| Product, infrastructure, and data | 5% |
| Marketing and partnerships | 20% |
| Vault Liquidity Seeding | 50% |
| **Total operating expenditure** | **100%** |


# Roadmap and Milestones

| Period | Milestone |
| --- | --- |
| Month 1 | Complete private-beta testing, tighten the leverage engine, finalize vault accounting, risk limits, liquidation controls, and production monitoring |
| Month 2 | Public Beta trading across selected 5-minute and 15-minute crypto markets |
| Month 3 | Public launch of SuperPumped, begin scaled marketing, expand market availability, and establish baseline trading-volume and vault-utilization metrics |
| Month 4 | Launch improved liquidity-provider dashboards, automated vault reporting, market-level risk analytics, and expanded research integration |
| Month 5 | Add additional crypto assets and market durations, improve execution routing, and begin onboarding professional traders and external liquidity partners |
| Month 6 | Demonstrate repeat user activity, meaningful vault utilization, stable execution, and consistent live trading volume |
| Months 7 | Expand supported markets, improve capital efficiency, introduce automated strategies, and deepen the SuperPumped data and research layer |
| Months 8 | Scale vault capacity, integrate additional prediction venues, pursue institutional liquidity relationships, and establish SuperPumped as cross-venue prediction-market infrastructure |

# What SuperPumped Is

SuperPumped combines three core products into one infrastructure layer.

## 1. Leveraged prediction-market execution

Traders can take positions with up to 10× leverage while keeping exposure isolated at the market level.

The system is designed around the unique risks of prediction markets rather than adapting a perpetual-futures liquidation model to binary contracts.

Key components include:

- Isolated positions.
- Vault-backed leverage.
- Market-specific exposure limits.
- Resolution-aware close windows.
- Controls designed to avoid carrying leveraged positions into final settlement.
- Initial specialization in 5-minute and 15-minute crypto markets.

## 2. Capital vaults

Liquidity providers supply capital that supports leveraged positions.

Instead of manually trading every prediction market, vault participants can provide capital to the system and earn from trading activity and capital demand.

This creates a two-sided network:

- More vault liquidity enables larger and more reliable leveraged positions.
- Better trading capacity attracts more traders.
- More trading activity generates greater utilization of vault capital.
- Higher utilization attracts additional liquidity providers.

## 3. Data, intelligence, and probabilistic research

SuperPumped brings fragmented market information into a single research interface.

The data layer is designed to combine:

- Market probabilities.
- Order books.
- Liquidity.
- Price history.
- News and catalysts.
- Event timelines.
- Charts and summaries.
- Probabilistic research.
- Strategy and automation infrastructure.

SuperPumped Crunch extends this approach into multi-sport research across football, basketball, American football, baseball, and ice hockey using provider-verified data, point-in-time feature controls, and selective qualification.

# Market and Differentiation

The target users are:

- Active prediction-market traders seeking greater capital efficiency.
- Crypto traders participating in short-duration Up/Down markets.
- Professional and quantitative traders who require better execution and research tools.
- Liquidity providers seeking yield from leveraged trading demand.
- Researchers and institutions that need structured prediction-market intelligence.

Existing prediction markets are primarily designed for fully collateralized trading. Users can express direction, but their position size is constrained by the capital they deposit.

Some competing products offer isolated pieces of the stack, such as leverage, lending against existing prediction positions, research dashboards, or a standalone exchange. SuperPumped integrates the entire loop.

> **Research creates conviction. Leverage allows users to size that conviction. Vaults supply the capital. The risk engine manages binary exposure.**
> 

## Competitive comparison

| Capability | Traditional prediction exchanges | Basic leverage overlays | Research platforms | SuperPumped |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Prediction-market trading | Yes | Through external venues | No | Yes |
| Up to 10× leverage | No | Sometimes | No | Yes |
| Binary-specific risk engine | Limited | Varies | No | Yes |
| Resolution-aware close controls | No | Varies | No | Yes |
| Isolated vault-backed liquidity | No | Limited | No | Yes |
| Liquidity-provider yield layer | No | Limited | No | Yes |
| Unified order-book and market data | Limited | Limited | Yes | Yes |
| Probabilistic research | Limited | No | Yes | Yes |
| Initial 5/15-minute crypto specialization | No | Limited | No | Yes |
| Cross-venue infrastructure potential | No | Limited | Data only | Yes |

## The one-sentence pitch

**The leverage, liquidity, and intelligence layer for prediction markets.**

## Raise terms (verbatim, as printed on the raise page)

By contributing to the fundraise for tokens ("Tokens"), you acknowledge and agree to the [Backable Terms of Service](https://www.backable.biz/terms). Without limiting the foregoing, you also acknowledge and agree to all of the following information, terms and conditions:

The above descriptions, terms, and other content were created, determined, and supplied exclusively by prospective project contributors related to the ICO and are being republished on Backable for convenience of reference only, as third-party content. Backable is a technology platform being used by the prospective project contributors, and the owners and operators of Backable and their respective affiliates are not the persons creating, endorsing, sponsoring, or discretionarily operating the ICO. Backable and its owners and operators and their respective affiliates assume no (and by participating in the ICO or otherwise using Backable, you agree that they shall not have any) responsibility or liability for the accuracy or completeness of the above descriptions, terms and other content, or any other representations, statements, opinions, projections, terms, or information made by or on behalf of the prospective project contributors in connection with the ICO.

The following terms and conditions apply between you, on the one hand, and, on the other hand, both the owners and operators (and their affiliates) of Backable or MetaDAO and the prospective ICO project contributors and related legal entity(ies) and their respective affiliates:

1. **No Guarantees.**
   The Tokens are provided on an "as-is" and "as-available" basis. Participation in the fundraise does not come with any guarantees, promises, or assurances of any kind, including, but not limited to, financial return, performance, future utility, or access to any platform, product, or service.

2. **Not an Offer of Securities.**
   The Tokens do not represent a security, equity, loan, or ownership interest in any entity or project. Participation in this fundraise is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, an offering of securities, nor does it constitute an offer or solicitation in any jurisdiction where such activity is unlawful. You are responsible to refrain from participation in the ICO if your jurisdiction does not permit such participation.

3. **Final Sale, Except As The Program Provides.**
   Except for the amounts the escrow program itself makes claimable as described in paragraph 7, contributions made as part of the fundraise are final. No party has the discretion to refund you, and you will not be entitled to a refund or compensation on any other basis, including loss of value or inability to use the Tokens. Where the program does make an amount claimable, no party has the discretion to withhold it either.

4. **No Liability for Losses.**
   To the fullest extent permitted by applicable laws, neither the organizers of this fundraise nor any of their affiliates, agents, advisors, officers, or representatives shall be liable for any direct or indirect loss or damage you may suffer, including without limitation: trading losses, loss of data, revenue, profit, or opportunity; or any errors, delays, or technical failures related to the fundraise or the Tokens.

5. **Nature of Token MetaDAO Platform ICOs.**
   You acknowledge and agree that the ICO is a transaction entirely by and among ICO participants, in which such participants contribute certain blockchain tokens into the sole control or custody of Solana-based "smart contracts" or "programs" as a method of establishing a decentralized autonomous decision market oriented toward the research, development, promotion and/or utilization of the above-described project. The ensuing market oracle–sometimes also referred to as a type of "DAO"-- is intended to govern both the deposited tokens and aspects of the related project, using "[Futarchy](https://docs.metadao.fi/governance/overview)". These smart contracts or programs exist independently of Backable or MetaDAO, on the Solana blockchain, and do not have a legal "owner" or "custodian", but instead will be controlled by the market-based governance process embedded in the decision market protocol, as expressed in the code of the smart contracts/programs. The deposited tokens do not represent a capital investment in any legal entity (including the legal entity referred to in the following paragraph) or group of managers or entrepreneurs, and the decision market may revoke funds out of the pool at any time, or may cease using the funds for the currently contemplated project or using them to pay the currently contemplated prospective project contributors, and may instead use them for other purposes, as determined by the decision market oracle aka "DAO." The current prospective project contributors will not immediately own or have any discretionary or managerial control of the deposit pool, and any related services such prospective project contributors provide will be on an independent contractor basis to the community, as determined on an ongoing basis by the decision market oracle aka "DAO." The tokens issued by the program/smart contract in exchange for deposited funds are not initially owned by, and are not being sold or offered by, Backable or MetaDAO or the prospective project contributors or any related entity(ies), but rather are issued by the smart-contract/system itself to enable ongoing functionality of the related decision market oracle aka "DAO". Any funds received from the deposit pool by the current prospective project contributors or future project contributors represent retroactive or prospective compensation for work done or to be done by such project contributors that is approved by the related decision market oracle aka "DAO", on the initiative of, and based on the managerial or entrepreneurial efforts of, participants in that market aka "DAO participants".

6. **DAO-Adjacent Entity aka BORG.**
   One or more members of the prospective project contributors may have established a particular type of legal entity related to the project. These entities, known as cybernetic organizations, aka 'BORGs", hold intellectual property related to the project and may receive the funds, if any, determined by the decision market oracle to be paid to the prospective project contributors as compensation for work done or to be done related to the project. BORGs contain special rules designed to provide accountability of project contributors to the community, including prohibiting the issuance of equity securities and requirements to consult the decision market oracle (sometimes on a signaling basis, sometimes on a binding basis) for decisions related to their work on the project and the related intellectual property and assets. Many of these entities are "segregated portfolios" of a Cayman Islands entity called Futarchy Governance SPC. Segregated portfolios provide separate layers of assets and liabilities within this entity, and each particular segregated portfolio is managed in the sole discretion of its "Manager(s)", subject to the terms and conditions of Futarchy Governance SPC and the Operating Agreement of that specific segregated portfolio. The ICO does not represent an investment in the SPC or segregated portfolio, and participants in the ICO and holders of the tokens being issued in the ICO do not have any legal rights in or ownership of the SPC or segregated portfolio, and are not owed any fiduciary or other duties by the participants in the SPC or segregated portfolio, but the SPC, in respect of the segregated portfolio, is legally required to abide by certain determinations of the decision market created by the ICO. Please review the project description above to determine the specific legal entity(ies) or other arrangements identified by the prospective project contributors. You hereby acknowledge and agree that you have reviewed, or had the opportunity to review, the information and documents presented or linked to from that description and acknowledge, consent to and accept the risks of all related legal entities and arrangements.

7. **Understanding the Mechanism.**
   This is an onchain fundraising mechanism with a fixed token supply and a stated funding goal. Commitments are not capped, but the amount the project receives is: everything committed above the goal remains the property of the participant who committed it.
   If the funding goal is not reached by close, every participant may reclaim the whole of their contribution. If the goal is exceeded, each participant may reclaim whatever part of their contribution did not convert into Tokens.
   **These amounts are claimed, not sent.** They are released by the program when you submit a claim transaction from the wallet that made the contribution. Nobody can approve, condition, delay or refuse that claim, there is no deadline for making it, and equally nobody can make it on your behalf. The same is true of the Tokens themselves in a funded raise.
   By participating, you confirm that you understand the [program](https://github.com/metaDAOproject/programs) and have reviewed the relevant documentation available at [https://docs.metadao.fi](https://docs.metadao.fi).

By contributing or attempting to contribute to the fundraise for Tokens, you confirm that you have read, understood, and accepted the terms above.

## How the mechanism works

- https://www.backable.biz/docs/how-backable-protects-you — escrow, claims, budgets in one page
- https://www.backable.biz/docs/doing-your-own-research — the diligence checklist this file feeds
- https://www.backable.biz/docs/reading-tokenomics — FDV, supply, unlock ladders, TWAPs
- https://www.backable.biz/docs/committed-vs-raised — why committed and raised differ
- https://www.backable.biz/docs/metadao-2 — MetaDAO 2.0: typed proposals and the adaptable performance package